Computing reported last week that UK IT is in danger of losing skilled technology professionals overseas. Research from recruitment specialist Computer People suggests almost two-thirds of IT workers are looking for employment opportunities outside the UK.

Good luck and all that, but I would hazard a guess that there is a big difference between looking for overseas opportunities and actually finding work.

The first problem is that an increasing amount of nuts and bolts IT work is being offshored to Asia. Maybe Indian and Chinese firms will poach the top UK talent to work on IT projects, in a similar way to dot com firms in turn-of-the millennium California?

Don’t get your hopes up. While best practice theory suggests firms should only outsource technology on a quality basis, most businesses also outsource work to keep prices down.

Prices are unlikely to be kept low if specialist UK workers are imported from high-paying western economies. Cost-pressured firms across Europe and the US are also unlikely to be shelling out top dollar for global talent.

Information Week’s annual US IT salary survey shows the average wage for a technology professional has dropped for the first time since the dot com crash, from $74,000 (£37,000) in 2007 to $73,000 (£36,500).

Of course, some movement for highly-prized expertise is likely to occur. Fast-developing IT centres such as Dubai are expected to create some demand for IT workers. The Computer People report also suggests staff with Cobol skills are best rewarded, with an average annual salary of £41,870.

Computer People’s managing director Nick Dettmar says the IT industry consists of professionals who know they have sought-after skills. I am not so sure. Despite the promising pay rates, only the bravest of souls would become a Cobol specialist in today’s web-obsessed IT market.

Rather than specialising, UK IT professionals will need to be flexible because of the increasing desire for businesses to create on-demand solutions.

Such flexibility might mean working overseas. But it is more likely to include working across an ever-widening array of technology areas.

Further reading

• How can the CIO gain respect for IT innovation?
• Making best use of Gartner's reports
• CIO concerns: Rob Fraser switches Boots for CSC
• CIOs will need to transform to survive
• Modernise to beat IT and skills obsolesence

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Want to contact the writer? Email Mark Samuels